Election Anomalies

Submitted by fyl on 3 November, 2006 - 19:59.

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The other 8%???

There has been some discussion of what the heck is going on with the rest of the counting process. The CSE processed 92% of the vote in 48 hours and now, after another 36+ hours have passed, nothing.

There is an article in today's La Prensa -- what got me was the "Lentitud" section showing what percentage of votes have been counted by department.

Really don't think the final count could possible change the presidential results but the make-up of the asemblea is certainly in question...

EDIT TO ADD: a related article about some alleged shenanigans in Diriamba!

A very real concern.

Voted yesterday for my candidates of choice after standing 3 hours in line.

Later that day ended up chewing the fat with a good friend, an intellectual and an astute observer of the political winds of Nicaragua.

He mused that he was concerned what would happen with a Daniel Ortega victory. His concern wasn't what Daniel would or wouldn't do, but rather, he cited the history of the country in that the Liberal Right has never ACCEPTED a political defeat. Back after the electoral defeat of the Sandinistas in the late 80´s, a surprised and long-faced Ortega announced that his party accepted the results of the vote defeating the Sandinistas.

I reflect on his words as I watch this morning the PLC and ALN contesting the preliminary results with any reason they can conjur up, as well as prematurely declaring that the election will go to a second round.

Unfortunately, in real Democracies, one also has to learn to be a good loser.

No Sandinista . . . Ni Liberal . . . NICARAGÜENSE!

The main anomaly

Sixty percent want someone other than Ortega, but the cast of thousands splitting the vote, plus the minority (35% to avoid runoff) BS cannot in any way be called majority rule, or the will of the people.

Exit poll infromation

For information visit www.radiolaprimerisima.com, they seem to have un-biased info.

gringo in jail...

***** is in the back of a police truck on the way to jail for transporting a case of Toña from his home to the home of another gringo.

Sigh. Friggin' interference in the Nica elections...

ARE YOU SERIOUS?

Lyin' Farmer John Wayne

Nicaliving Member?

haha...

If it was I told you all in a post about 2 weeks ago, by your FDC and beer before this weekend, and I think someone else just said it a few days ago as well.

.

All kinds of funny stuff going on last minute.

Some 60 year old in Esteli, got pissed when he tried to use his cell when he was about to deposit his vote. They went to take it away, and he got pissed and ripped up his vote.

In Chinandega they tried to close the polling booth at 6 sharp. "Supposedly" a few people showed up 5 minutes before the deadline to get into line. The polling booth shut the doors anyway. However after much bitching they seem to reopened the doors

World News Coverage

I have been looking at the pre-election coverage in everywhere from the BBC to the Turkish Press. Almost every article talks about how Ortega is the left-wing candidate and that the conservatives are split between Montealegre and the PLC candidate. Most point out that the US disowned the PLC.

This makes it sound like there are three parties and while the conservatives are a majority, they are split. I have seen no reference to Jarquín, the split on the Sandinista side or what sort of percentages the "conservative vs. left" really represent.

Don't worry about it Phil, no one knows

It probably doesn't matter anyway, its just conjecture. NL members probably already know more about it than those reporters do.

My concern

My real concern here is if Ortega wins, they have set the stage for "almost 2/3 of the people were against him". While that may end up being true, the implication is that 2/3 of the people were pretty much united on the right. That does a real disservice to the MRS and, I feel, the future of Nicaraguan elections.

Reality?

Danny-boy **ortega, the next president of Nicaragua set the stage. By keeping (fat pig thief puke) Aleman out of prison in exchange for allowing 35% of the vote to be the number required to win the presidency, **ortega set the stage for what you describe.

I know your rebuttal so save it (35% of 80% voting is better than the [evil] US elections ad infinitum y naseum)...

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"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion; he is not entitled to his own facts." ~~ Daniel Patrick Moynihan

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FSLN and PLC officials

FSLN and PLC officials campaigning or trying to influence voters right outside(and possibly inside) polling places:

CLICK

too bad but

Exit polls will not be allowed so we won't have much actual news until Monday

Even if there are no exit

Even if there are no exit polls (which I doubt), the CSE will be issuing preliminary results following the closing of the polls.

"El Consejo dijo que el primer informe preliminar sobre el resultado de los comicios será dado a las 23.00 (0500 GMT) con el conteo de un 6 a 7% de los votos, un reporte más a media noche, otro posiblemente una hora después. El siguiente será a las 07.00 del lunes (1300 GMT)".

We will be able to monitor the results via these sites:

www.cse.gob.ni

www.elecciones2006.net.ni

Explain this to me please.

from Prensa Latina: http://tinyurl.com/yesf9d

"There are 3.6 million people registered to elect the President and Vice-President, the 90 deputies to the National Assembly and the 20 representatives to Centro American Parliament. The CSE calculates of that total, 2.85 million will go actually to the polls.

Electors will have the possibility of voting in the 11,000,274 vote reception boards, which will be opened all over the country the day elections begin and observed by more than a thousand international experts and 16,000 locals."

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

Why do they need more than 11 miillion places for 3 million people to vote?

Typo?

There will be 11,274 Juntas Receptoras de Votos (Voting Reception Boards), located in 4,296 Polling places...

probably

That seems more reasonable.