Winter is coming.

They are calling for a 50% chance of El Niño. Everything I have read online is conflicting. Some say this means more rain for the pacific coast of Nicaragua and some say it means extreme drought. I wanted to see if any members here had an opinion on what we might expect in the coming months.

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Yes, here...

That Boy!

Most weather experts around the world agree that there is a greater than 50 percent chance that we will have an El Niño (the boy) weather condition this year and some say it will be severe and could cause droughts in areas of Asia as well as bring heavy rains to South America.

El Niño affects agricultural markets as producers face a drought or too much rain and causes headaches for speculators and future traders as they try to calculate the highs and the lows of the products they will be betting on.

Nearer home, Cost Rica could face drier conditions in the Pacific and the Central Valley. So far, all that the Nicaraguan Institute of Territorial Studies (INETER) is predicting is a lower than normal rainfall in the Pacific, North and Central parts of Nicaragua for the period May to July. May 10th is the estimated official start date of the rainy season although moderate rainfall could be experienced in isolated regions which could be higher than normal for the month. This will create the effect of a false start to the rainy season.

Del Sur News

No first hand memories?

I don't recall the bi El Nino years but I would be interested to know how they played out in each area. There are so many micro climates down here it would be hard to generalize what to expect.